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Match Centre KYRGYZSTAN - Premier Liga Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
KYRGYZSTAN flag KYRGYZSTAN - Premier Liga • 28 Oct 2026

Talant

HOME
13:00
2:0
Finished

Asiagoal Bishkek

AWAY
Selected market
Double Chance X2
1.95
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value31.24%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate50.6%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-2.54%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 1.83
51.4%
DrawOdds 4.13
22.8%
Away WinOdds 3.64
25.8%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 1.83 3.06 -40.17%
XDraw
 4.13 4.75 -13.09%
2Away Win
 3.64 2.16 +68.39%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 1.25 1.86 -32.83%
12Double Chance 12
 1.20 1.27 -5.25%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.95 1.49 +31.24% Selected
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 1.41 2.41 -41.61%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 2.79 1.71 +63.47%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

1 shared opponent
Evidence overview

Common-opponent evidence is level

Based on 1 shared opponent. Historical comparison only; it does not guarantee the result.
Talant
Points earned3
Goal difference+4
Odds performance 1.00
Asiagoal Bishkek
Points earned3
Goal difference+4
Odds performance 1.00
Match-by-match comparisonMost recent completed result against each shared opponent
Win Draw Loss
Shared opponentTalantAsiagoal Bishkek
Aldier
4–0
WinAway · 10 Oct 2026
3 pts
4–0
WinAway · 22 Oct 2026
3 pts
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Talant

Position#9
Played28
Wins9
Draws9
Losses10
Goals For37
Goals Against29
Goal Difference8
Points36
Points / Game1.29
Win Rate32.1%
GD / Game0.29

Asiagoal Bishkek

Position#14
Played28
Wins5
Draws9
Losses14
Goals For35
Goals Against48
Goal Difference-13
Points24
Points / Game0.86
Win Rate17.9%
GD / Game-0.46
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability32.70%
Draw Probability21.04%
Away Probability46.26%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

1.80 — 2.10
Wins1,011
Losses989
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals3.12
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
TalantLast 6 completed
28 Oct Talant 2 – 0 Asiagoal Bishkek
23 Oct Talant 1 – 2 Bishkek City
16 Oct Muras United 2 – 1 Talant
10 Oct Aldier 0 – 4 Talant
Asiagoal BishkekLast 6 completed
28 Oct Talant 2 – 0 Asiagoal Bishkek
22 Oct Aldier 0 – 4 Asiagoal Bishkek
17 Oct Asiagoal Bishkek 2 – 3 Ozgon
08 Oct Alga 3 – 2 Asiagoal Bishkek
17 Sep Asiagoal Bishkek 0 – 1 Ilbirs
11 Sep Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 3 – 1 Asiagoal Bishkek