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Match Centre SWEDEN - Allsvenskan Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
SWEDEN flag SWEDEN - Allsvenskan • 28 Oct 2026

Brommapojkarna

HOME
18:00
0:0
Finished

Hacken

AWAY
Selected market
Away Win
1.62
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value8.64%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate44.0%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-28.99%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 4.81
19.7%
DrawOdds 4.39
21.6%
Away WinOdds 1.62
58.6%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 4.81 8.19 -41.30%
XDraw
 4.39 4.82 -8.98%
2Away Win
 1.62 1.49 +8.64%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 2.30 3.04 -24.25%
12Double Chance 12
 1.20 1.26 -4.88%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.20 1.14 +5.36%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 3.71 6.50 -42.88%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 1.25 1.18 +5.76%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

1 shared opponent
Evidence overview

Away team has the better goal difference

Based on 1 shared opponent. Historical comparison only; it does not guarantee the result.
Brommapojkarna
Points earned3
Goal difference+3
Odds performance 1.00
Hacken
Points earned3
Goal difference+5
Odds performance 1.00
Match-by-match comparisonMost recent completed result against each shared opponent
Win Draw Loss
Shared opponentBrommapojkarnaHacken
Kalmar
3–0
WinAway · 24 Oct 2026
3 pts
5–0
WinAway · 20 Sep 2026
3 pts
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Brommapojkarna

Position#10
Played26
Wins9
Draws7
Losses10
Goals For39
Goals Against43
Goal Difference-4
Points34
Points / Game1.31
Win Rate34.6%
GD / Game-0.15

Hacken

Position#4
Played26
Wins12
Draws10
Losses4
Goals For47
Goals Against30
Goal Difference17
Points46
Points / Game1.77
Win Rate46.2%
GD / Game0.65
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability12.20%
Draw Probability20.73%
Away Probability67.06%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

1.47 — 1.77
Wins879
Losses1,121
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals3.17
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
BrommapojkarnaLast 6 completed
28 Oct Brommapojkarna 0 – 0 Hacken
24 Oct Kalmar 0 – 3 Brommapojkarna
16 Oct Brommapojkarna 0 – 2 Djurgarden
15 Oct Brommapojkarna 0 – 2 Djurgarden
10 Oct AIK 5 – 6 Brommapojkarna
19 Sep Brommapojkarna 0 – 1 Goteborg
HackenLast 6 completed
28 Oct Brommapojkarna 0 – 0 Hacken
24 Oct Hacken 4 – 0 Degerfors
18 Oct Malmo FF 0 – 1 Hacken
11 Oct Hacken 3 – 0 Orgryte
20 Sep Kalmar 0 – 5 Hacken
11 Sep Hacken 1 – 1 Mjallby