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Match Centre SLOVAKIA - Nike liga Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
SLOVAKIA flag SLOVAKIA - Nike liga • 28 Oct 2026

Trencin

HOME
90+'
0:2
Live

Slovan Bratislava

AWAY
Selected market
Away Win
1.48
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value1.52%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate43.8%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-35.27%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 5.97
15.7%
DrawOdds 4.48
20.9%
Away WinOdds 1.48
63.4%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 5.97 7.59 -21.31%
XDraw
 4.48 5.49 -18.36%
2Away Win
 1.48 1.46 +1.52%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 2.55 3.18 -19.92%
12Double Chance 12
 1.20 1.22 -1.87%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.10 1.15 -4.50%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 4.71 6.20 -24.08%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 1.17 1.19 -1.86%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

4 shared opponents
Evidence overview

Away team performed better by 16.7%

Based on 4 shared opponents. Historical comparison only; it does not guarantee the result.
Trencin
Points earned4
Goal difference0
Odds performance 3.00
Slovan Bratislava
Points earned6
Goal difference+1
Odds performance 2.00
Match-by-match comparisonMost recent completed result against each shared opponent
Win Draw Loss
Shared opponentTrencinSlovan Bratislava
Komarno
0–0
DrawAway · 25 Oct 2026
1 pts
2–1
WinAway · 19 Sep 2026
3 pts
Skalica
2–0
WinAway · 17 Oct 2026
3 pts
1–1
DrawAway · 10 Oct 2026
1 pts
Banska Bystrica
0–1
LossHome · 10 Oct 2026
0 pts
2–2
DrawHome · 24 Oct 2026
1 pts
Zilina
1–2
LossAway · 19 Sep 2026
0 pts
3–3
DrawHome · 13 Sep 2026
1 pts
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Trencin

Position#10
Played12
Wins2
Draws3
Losses7
Goals For12
Goals Against23
Goal Difference-11
Points9
Points / Game0.75
Win Rate16.7%
GD / Game-0.92

Slovan Bratislava

Position#2
Played12
Wins7
Draws3
Losses2
Goals For28
Goals Against12
Goal Difference16
Points24
Points / Game2.00
Win Rate58.3%
GD / Game1.33
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability13.18%
Draw Probability18.22%
Away Probability68.60%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

1.33 — 1.63
Wins876
Losses1,124
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals3.28
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
TrencinLast 6 completed
28 Oct Trencin 0 – 2 Slovan Bratislava
25 Oct Komarno 0 – 0 Trencin
17 Oct Skalica 0 – 2 Trencin
14 Oct Lok. Kosice 0 – 1 Trencin
10 Oct Trencin 0 – 1 Banska Bystrica
19 Sep Zilina 2 – 1 Trencin
Slovan BratislavaLast 6 completed
28 Oct Trencin 0 – 2 Slovan Bratislava
24 Oct Slovan Bratislava 2 – 2 Banska Bystrica
20 Oct AS Roma 4 – 0 Slovan Bratislava
17 Oct Trnava 0 – 3 Slovan Bratislava
14 Oct Slovan Bratislava 0 – 3 Stuttgart
10 Oct Skalica 1 – 1 Slovan Bratislava