⚽SoccerTab
Log in
Back to predictions
Match Centre PORTUGAL - Liga Next Gen U23 Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
PORTUGAL flag PORTUGAL - Liga Next Gen U23 • 27 Oct 2026

SC Farense U23

HOME
11:00
2:3
Finished

Academico Viseu U23

AWAY
Selected market
Away Win
2.62
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value41.69%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate32.4%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-14.85%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 2.41
38.8%
DrawOdds 3.67
25.5%
Away WinOdds 2.62
35.7%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 2.41 2.72 -11.48%
XDraw
 3.67 4.26 -13.83%
2Away Win
 2.62 2.51 +4.25%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 1.45 1.66 -12.69%
12Double Chance 12
 1.25 1.31 -4.35%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.55 1.58 -1.93%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 1.80 2.08 -13.60%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 1.95 1.92 +1.40%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

0 shared opponents
No common-opponent evidence yet

There are no shared opponents with completed league results recorded before this fixture. The comparison will appear when qualifying results are available.

League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

SC Farense U23

Position#10
Played10
Wins3
Draws3
Losses4
Goals For15
Goals Against17
Goal Difference-2
Points12
Points / Game1.20
Win Rate30.0%
GD / Game-0.20

Academico Viseu U23

Position#2
Played10
Wins6
Draws3
Losses1
Goals For19
Goals Against13
Goal Difference6
Points21
Points / Game2.10
Win Rate60.0%
GD / Game0.60
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability36.73%
Draw Probability23.48%
Away Probability39.79%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

2.47 — 2.77
Wins648
Losses1,352
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals2.90
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
SC Farense U23Last 6 completed
27 Oct SC Farense U23 2 – 3 Academico Viseu U23
20 Oct Estrela U23 1 – 1 SC Farense U23
13 Oct SC Farense U23 1 – 2 Leiria U23
21 Sep Vizela U23 2 – 0 SC Farense U23
15 Sep SC Farense U23 1 – 1 Leixoes U23
09 Sep Santa Clara U23 1 – 0 SC Farense U23
Academico Viseu U23Last 6 completed
27 Oct SC Farense U23 2 – 3 Academico Viseu U23
20 Oct Academico Viseu U23 0 – 0 Penafiel U23
13 Oct Portimonense U23 1 – 2 Academico Viseu U23
22 Sep Academico Viseu U23 1 – 1 Estoril U23
14 Sep Sporting CP U23 2 – 2 Academico Viseu U23
08 Sep Academico Viseu U23 1 – 3 Moreirense U23