⚽SoccerTab
Log in
Back to predictions
Match Centre ENGLAND - Isthmian League Premier Division Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
ENGLAND - Isthmian League Premier Division • 27 Oct 2026

Stanway

HOME
19:45
VS
Postponed

Cray Wanderers

AWAY
Selected market
Double Chance 12
1.10
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value-12.19%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate76.9%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-8.53%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 6.34
14.2%
DrawOdds 4.75
19.0%
Away WinOdds 1.35
66.8%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 6.34 2.42 +100.00%
XDraw
 4.75 4.96 -4.18%
2Away Win
 1.35 2.60 -48.00%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 2.70 1.63 +65.99%
12Double Chance 12
 1.10 1.25 -12.19%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.05 1.70 -38.37%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 5.33 1.93 +100.00%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 1.13 2.07 -45.47%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

1 shared opponent
Evidence overview

Common-opponent evidence is level

Based on 1 shared opponent. Historical comparison only; it does not guarantee the result.
Stanway
Points earned0
Goal difference-1
Odds performance N/A
Cray Wanderers
Points earned0
Goal difference-1
Odds performance N/A
Match-by-match comparisonMost recent completed result against each shared opponent
Win Draw Loss
Shared opponentStanwayCray Wanderers
Enfield Town
1–2
LossHome · 06 Oct 2026
0 pts
2–3
LossAway · 12 Sep 2026
0 pts
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Stanway

Position#21
Played13
Wins2
Draws1
Losses10
Goals For12
Goals Against32
Goal Difference-20
Points7
Points / Game0.54
Win Rate15.4%
GD / Game-1.54

Cray Wanderers

Position#19
Played9
Wins3
Draws3
Losses3
Goals For19
Goals Against14
Goal Difference5
Points12
Points / Game1.33
Win Rate33.3%
GD / Game0.56
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability41.31%
Draw Probability20.17%
Away Probability38.52%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

1.01 — 1.25
Wins1,538
Losses462
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals3.23
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
StanwayLast 6 completed
24 Oct Stanway 3 – 0 Cheshunt
20 Oct Ramsgate 2 – 0 Stanway
17 Oct Wingate & Finchley 4 – 1 Stanway
10 Oct Stanway 1 – 3 Three Bridges
06 Oct Stanway 1 – 2 Enfield Town
26 Sep Stanway 0 – 2 Faversham
Cray WanderersLast 6 completed
24 Oct Berkhamsted 1 – 2 Cray Wanderers
20 Oct Cray Wanderers 1 – 1 Bedford
17 Oct Bedford 0 – 0 Cray Wanderers
10 Oct Cray Wanderers 1 – 2 Lewes
03 Oct Cray Wanderers 3 – 0 Chippenham
29 Sep Maldon & Tiptree 1 – 5 Cray Wanderers