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Match Centre SCOTLAND - Lowland League Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
SCOTLAND - Lowland League • 27 Oct 2026

Kilwinning Rangers

HOME
19:45
VS
Postponed

Cumbernauld Colts

AWAY
Selected market
Double Chance 12
1.15
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value0.12%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate75.9%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-8.14%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 1.63
56.7%
DrawOdds 4.50
20.5%
Away WinOdds 4.05
22.8%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 1.63 1.29 +26.77%
XDraw
 4.50 7.73 -41.78%
2Away Win
 4.05 10.77 -62.39%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 1.20 1.10 +8.86%
12Double Chance 12
 1.15 1.15 +0.12%
X2Double Chance X2
 2.15 4.50 -52.21%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 1.31 1.12 +17.03%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 3.26 9.37 -65.22%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

1 shared opponent
Evidence overview

Home team performed better by 100.0%

Based on 1 shared opponent. Historical comparison only; it does not guarantee the result.
Kilwinning Rangers
Points earned3
Goal difference+3
Odds performance 1.00
Cumbernauld Colts
Points earned0
Goal difference-1
Odds performance N/A
Match-by-match comparisonMost recent completed result against each shared opponent
Win Draw Loss
Shared opponentKilwinning RangersCumbernauld Colts
Albion Rovers
3–0
WinAway · 15 Sep 2026
3 pts
1–2
LossAway · 19 Sep 2026
0 pts
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Kilwinning Rangers

Position#0
Played0
Wins0
Draws0
Losses0
Goals For0
Goals Against0
Goal Difference0
Points0
Points / Game0.00
Win Rate0.0%
GD / Game0.00

Cumbernauld Colts

Position#0
Played0
Wins0
Draws0
Losses0
Goals For0
Goals Against0
Goal Difference0
Points0
Points / Game0.00
Win Rate0.0%
GD / Game0.00
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability77.77%
Draw Probability12.94%
Away Probability9.29%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

1.01 — 1.30
Wins1,517
Losses483
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals3.11
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
Kilwinning RangersLast 6 completed
17 Oct Kilwinning Rangers 4 – 0 Dalbeattie Star
03 Oct Penicuik 3 – 1 Kilwinning Rangers
26 Sep Troon FC 2 – 4 Kilwinning Rangers
22 Sep Kilwinning Rangers 3 – 0 Auchinleck Talbot
15 Sep Albion Rovers 0 – 3 Kilwinning Rangers
12 Sep Kilwinning Rangers 4 – 0 Celtic B
Cumbernauld ColtsLast 6 completed
24 Oct Cumbernauld Colts 3 – 2 Banks O' Dee
17 Oct Cumbernauld Colts 5 – 2 Newton Stewart
13 Oct Cumbernauld Colts 2 – 1 East Fife
03 Oct Haddington Athletic 0 – 2 Cumbernauld Colts
26 Sep Cumbernauld Colts 2 – 4 St. Mirren B
22 Sep Stirling 1 – 1 Cumbernauld Colts