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Match Centre MOROCCO - Botola Pro Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
MOROCCO flag MOROCCO - Botola Pro • 28 Oct 2026

Raja Casablanca

HOME
45+'
0:0
Live

Hassania Agadir

AWAY
Selected market
Double Chance 12
1.30
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value1.81%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate73.7%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-8.47%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 1.74
53.8%
DrawOdds 3.33
28.1%
Away WinOdds 5.20
18.0%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 1.74 2.69 -35.31%
XDraw
 3.33 4.61 -27.79%
2Away Win
 5.20 2.43 +100.00%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 1.15 1.70 -32.31%
12Double Chance 12
 1.30 1.28 +1.81%
X2Double Chance X2
 2.05 1.59 +28.79%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 1.25 2.11 -40.66%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 3.73 1.90 +95.94%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

2 shared opponents
Evidence overview

Home team performed better by 16.7%

Based on 2 shared opponents. Historical comparison only; it does not guarantee the result.
Raja Casablanca
Points earned4
Goal difference+1
Odds performance 1.50
Hassania Agadir
Points earned3
Goal difference+2
Odds performance 2.00
Match-by-match comparisonMost recent completed result against each shared opponent
Win Draw Loss
Shared opponentRaja CasablancaHassania Agadir
Maghreb Fez
0–0
DrawAway · 08 Oct 2026
1 pts
1–2
LossHome · 03 Oct 2026
0 pts
Renaissance Zemamra
1–0
WinHome · 03 Oct 2026
3 pts
5–2
WinAway · 08 Oct 2026
3 pts
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Raja Casablanca

Position#10
Played3
Wins1
Draws2
Losses0
Goals For2
Goals Against1
Goal Difference1
Points5
Points / Game1.67
Win Rate33.3%
GD / Game0.33

Hassania Agadir

Position#4
Played4
Wins2
Draws1
Losses1
Goals For11
Goals Against8
Goal Difference3
Points7
Points / Game1.75
Win Rate50.0%
GD / Game0.75
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability37.18%
Draw Probability21.68%
Away Probability41.14%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

1.15 — 1.45
Wins1,474
Losses526
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals2.92
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
Raja CasablancaLast 6 completed
28 Oct Raja Casablanca 0 – 0 Hassania Agadir
13 Oct FUS Rabat 1 – 1 Raja Casablanca
08 Oct Maghreb Fez 0 – 0 Raja Casablanca
03 Oct Raja Casablanca 1 – 0 Renaissance Zemamra
Hassania AgadirLast 6 completed
28 Oct Raja Casablanca 0 – 0 Hassania Agadir
12 Oct Hassania Agadir 2 – 2 FAR Rabat
08 Oct Renaissance Zemamra 2 – 5 Hassania Agadir
03 Oct Hassania Agadir 1 – 2 Maghreb Fez
27 Sep Kawkab Marrakech 2 – 3 Hassania Agadir