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Match Centre ALBANIA - Abissnet Superiore Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
ALBANIA flag ALBANIA - Abissnet Superiore • 28 Oct 2026

Skenderbeu

HOME
64'
1:0
Live

Laci

AWAY
Selected market
Double Chance 12
1.30
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value3.05%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate73.7%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-8.47%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 2.16
42.9%
DrawOdds 3.19
29.0%
Away WinOdds 3.29
28.1%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 2.16 1.57 +37.47%
XDraw
 3.19 4.82 -33.87%
2Away Win
 3.29 6.40 -48.60%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 1.30 1.19 +9.69%
12Double Chance 12
 1.30 1.26 +3.05%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.60 2.75 -41.83%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 1.55 1.25 +24.45%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 2.36 5.07 -53.49%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

2 shared opponents
Evidence overview

Away team performed better by 16.7%

Based on 2 shared opponents. Historical comparison only; it does not guarantee the result.
Skenderbeu
Points earned2
Goal difference0
Odds performance 3.00
Laci
Points earned3
Goal difference0
Odds performance 2.00
Match-by-match comparisonMost recent completed result against each shared opponent
Win Draw Loss
Shared opponentSkenderbeuLaci
Vora
1–1
DrawAway · 19 Sep 2026
1 pts
1–0
WinHome · 24 Oct 2026
3 pts
KF Tirana
1–1
DrawHome · 11 Sep 2026
1 pts
0–1
LossAway · 17 Oct 2026
0 pts
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Skenderbeu

Position#7
Played8
Wins2
Draws3
Losses3
Goals For9
Goals Against10
Goal Difference-1
Points9
Points / Game1.13
Win Rate25.0%
GD / Game-0.13

Laci

Position#6
Played8
Wins3
Draws1
Losses4
Goals For8
Goals Against11
Goal Difference-3
Points10
Points / Game1.25
Win Rate37.5%
GD / Game-0.38
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability63.64%
Draw Probability20.73%
Away Probability15.62%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

1.15 — 1.45
Wins1,474
Losses526
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals2.92
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
SkenderbeuLast 6 completed
28 Oct Skenderbeu 1 – 0 Laci
24 Oct Partizani 0 – 2 Skenderbeu
17 Oct Skenderbeu 2 – 1 AF Elbasani
17 Oct Skenderbeu 1 – 1 AF Elbasani
10 Oct Teuta 2 – 0 Skenderbeu
06 Oct Skenderbeu 4 – 1 Kucove
LaciLast 6 completed
28 Oct Skenderbeu 1 – 0 Laci
24 Oct Laci 1 – 0 Vora
17 Oct KF Tirana 1 – 0 Laci
11 Oct Laci 0 – 2 Egnatia
07 Oct Laci 8 – 2 Kelcyra
19 Sep Dinamo City 3 – 1 Laci