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Match Centre Russian Cup - Group Stage Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
RUSSIA flag Russian Cup - Group Stage • 27 Oct 2026

Corvinul

HOME
19:30
0:0
Scheduled

FC Rapid Bucuresti

AWAY
Selected market
Home Win
2.43
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value12.53%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate40.6%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-1.04%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 2.43
36.8%
DrawOdds 2.92
30.6%
Away WinOdds 2.74
32.6%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 2.43 2.16 +12.53%
XDraw
 2.92 4.79 -39.02%
2Away Win
 2.74 3.05 -10.10%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 1.35 1.49 -9.29%
12Double Chance 12
 1.30 1.26 +2.85%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.40 1.86 -24.83%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 1.76 1.71 +3.02%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 1.99 2.41 -17.48%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

0 shared opponents
No common-opponent evidence yet

There are no shared opponents with completed league results recorded before this fixture. The comparison will appear when qualifying results are available.

League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Corvinul

Position#0
Played0
Wins0
Draws0
Losses0
Goals For0
Goals Against0
Goal Difference0
Points0
Points / Game0.00
Win Rate0.0%
GD / Game0.00

FC Rapid Bucuresti

Position#0
Played0
Wins0
Draws0
Losses0
Goals For0
Goals Against0
Goal Difference0
Points0
Points / Game0.00
Win Rate0.0%
GD / Game0.00
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability46.31%
Draw Probability20.88%
Away Probability32.81%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

2.28 — 2.58
Wins812
Losses1,188
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals2.92
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
CorvinulLast 6 completed
27 Oct Corvinul 0 – 0 FC Rapid Bucuresti
27 Oct Corvinul 0 – 0 FC Rapid Bucuresti
23 Oct Corvinul 0 – 3 U. Cluj
17 Oct FC Rapid Bucuresti 2 – 0 Corvinul
09 Oct Corvinul 3 – 2 FC Voluntari
21 Sep Otelul 2 – 3 Corvinul
FC Rapid BucurestiLast 6 completed
27 Oct Corvinul 0 – 0 FC Rapid Bucuresti
27 Oct Corvinul 0 – 0 FC Rapid Bucuresti
24 Oct FCSB 4 – 1 FC Rapid Bucuresti
17 Oct FC Rapid Bucuresti 2 – 0 Corvinul
12 Oct U. Cluj 3 – 4 FC Rapid Bucuresti
18 Sep FC Rapid Bucuresti 3 – 1 FC Arges