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Match Centre SERBIA - Mozzart Serbian Cup Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
SERBIA flag SERBIA - Mozzart Serbian Cup • 28 Oct 2026

Jedinstvo U.

HOME
Half Time
0:2
Live

Crvena zvezda

AWAY
Selected market
Home Win
23.00
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value100.00%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample4Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate0.0%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-100.00%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 23.00
4.1%
DrawOdds 8.95
10.5%
Away WinOdds 1.10
85.4%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 23.00 2.30 +100.00%
XDraw
 8.95 4.07 +100.00%
2Away Win
 1.10 3.13 -64.88%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 6.45 1.47 +100.00%
12Double Chance 12
 1.05 1.33 -20.79%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.00 1.77 -43.51%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 20.49 1.73 +100.00%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 0.98 2.36 -58.52%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

0 shared opponents
No common-opponent evidence yet

There are no shared opponents with completed league results recorded before this fixture. The comparison will appear when qualifying results are available.

League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Jedinstvo U.

Position#0
Played0
Wins0
Draws0
Losses0
Goals For0
Goals Against0
Goal Difference0
Points0
Points / Game0.00
Win Rate0.0%
GD / Game0.00

Crvena zvezda

Position#0
Played0
Wins0
Draws0
Losses0
Goals For0
Goals Against0
Goal Difference0
Points0
Points / Game0.00
Win Rate0.0%
GD / Game0.00
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability43.51%
Draw Probability24.56%
Away Probability31.93%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

22.85 — 23.15
Wins0
Losses4
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals3.75
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
Jedinstvo U.Last 6 completed
28 Oct Jedinstvo U. 0 – 2 Crvena zvezda
24 Oct Bor 1919 0 – 2 Jedinstvo U.
17 Oct Jedinstvo U. 3 – 1 Graficar Beograd
10 Oct Borac 1926 3 – 1 Jedinstvo U.
04 Oct Jedinstvo U. 0 – 0 Dubocica
28 Sep Proleter 023 3 – 0 Jedinstvo U.
Crvena zvezdaLast 6 completed
28 Oct Jedinstvo U. 0 – 2 Crvena zvezda
25 Oct OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 0 – 1 Crvena zvezda
22 Oct Crvena zvezda 2 – 2 FC Copenhagen
18 Oct Crvena zvezda 5 – 1 Mladost
15 Oct Lugano 3 – 2 Crvena zvezda
10 Oct Radnicki 1923 0 – 3 Crvena zvezda