GERMANY - DFB Pokal
•
28 Oct 2026
Jeddeloh
HOME 90+'
0:2
Live
Hertha Berlin
AWAYSelected market
Home Win
22.00
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value100.00%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample15Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate33.3%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI631.33%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model
1X2 probability distribution
Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.
100% normalized
Home WinOdds 22.00
4.4%DrawOdds 11.10
8.6%Away WinOdds 1.10
87.0% The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner
All available markets
Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.
| Market | Current Odds | Fair Odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1Home Win |
22.00 | 2.22 | +100.00% | |
XDraw |
11.10 | 4.46 | +100.00% | |
2Away Win |
1.10 | 3.08 | -64.27% | |
1XDouble Chance 1X |
7.40 | 1.48 | +100.00% | |
12Double Chance 12 |
1.05 | 1.29 | -18.52% | |
X2Double Chance X2 |
1.00 | 1.82 | -45.12% | |
DNB1Draw No Bet 1 |
19.64 | 1.72 | +100.00% | |
DNB2Draw No Bet 2 |
0.98 | 2.39 | -58.98% |
Comparative form
Common-opponent evidence
How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.
0 shared opponents
No common-opponent evidence yet
There are no shared opponents with completed league results recorded before this fixture. The comparison will appear when qualifying results are available.
League strength
Recent-form Poisson model
Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.
FORM MODEL
Jeddeloh
| Position | #0 |
| Played | 0 |
| Wins | 0 |
| Draws | 0 |
| Losses | 0 |
| Goals For | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 |
| Goal Difference | 0 |
| Points | 0 |
| Points / Game | 0.00 |
| Win Rate | 0.0% |
| GD / Game | 0.00 |
Hertha Berlin
| Position | #0 |
| Played | 0 |
| Wins | 0 |
| Draws | 0 |
| Losses | 0 |
| Goals For | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 |
| Goal Difference | 0 |
| Points | 0 |
| Points / Game | 0.00 |
| Win Rate | 0.0% |
| GD / Game | 0.00 |
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability45.12%
Draw Probability22.40%
Away Probability32.48%
Historical evidence
Comparable-odds performance
Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.
21.85 — 22.15
Wins5
Losses10
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals4.20
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form
Recent completed matches
Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.
6 each
JeddelohLast 6 completed
28 Oct
Jeddeloh
0 – 2
Hertha Berlin
24 Oct
Eimsbutteler
1 – 1
Jeddeloh
17 Oct
Jeddeloh
3 – 2
Werder Bremen II
12 Oct
Jeddeloh
1 – 2
VfB Lubeck
03 Oct
Drochtersen/Assel
7 – 2
Jeddeloh
26 Sep
Jeddeloh
0 – 4
Norderstedt
Hertha BerlinLast 6 completed
28 Oct
Jeddeloh
0 – 2
Hertha Berlin
24 Oct
Hertha Berlin
1 – 0
Arminia Bielefeld
16 Oct
Holstein Kiel
0 – 0
Hertha Berlin
11 Oct
Hertha Berlin
2 – 1
Greuther Furth
19 Sep
SG Dynamo Dresden
1 – 2
Hertha Berlin
13 Sep
VfL Osnabruck
1 – 3
Hertha Berlin