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Match Centre CZECH REPUBLIC - 3. CFL - Group A Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
CZECH REPUBLIC flag CZECH REPUBLIC - 3. CFL - Group A • 28 Oct 2026

Kraluv Dvur

HOME
48'
0:0
Live

Sparta Prague B

AWAY
Selected market
Home Win
2.42
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value5.94%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate40.2%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-2.39%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 2.42
38.2%
DrawOdds 4.17
22.2%
Away WinOdds 2.34
39.6%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 2.42 2.28 +5.94%
XDraw
 4.17 4.96 -15.91%
2Away Win
 2.34 2.77 -15.62%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 1.55 1.56 -0.89%
12Double Chance 12
 1.20 1.25 -4.20%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.50 1.78 -15.66%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 1.90 1.82 +4.18%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 1.84 2.21 -16.89%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

2 shared opponents
Evidence overview

Home team performed better by 33.3%

Based on 2 shared opponents. Historical comparison only; it does not guarantee the result.
Kraluv Dvur
Points earned6
Goal difference+4
Odds performance 1.00
Sparta Prague B
Points earned4
Goal difference+4
Odds performance 1.50
Match-by-match comparisonMost recent completed result against each shared opponent
Win Draw Loss
Shared opponentKraluv DvurSparta Prague B
Motorlet Prague
4–1
WinHome · 10 Oct 2026
3 pts
1–1
DrawAway · 17 Oct 2026
1 pts
Loko Praha
3–2
WinAway · 26 Sep 2026
3 pts
4–0
WinAway · 19 Sep 2026
3 pts
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Kraluv Dvur

Position#2
Played11
Wins8
Draws2
Losses1
Goals For31
Goals Against18
Goal Difference13
Points26
Points / Game2.36
Win Rate72.7%
GD / Game1.18

Sparta Prague B

Position#7
Played10
Wins4
Draws4
Losses2
Goals For18
Goals Against8
Goal Difference10
Points16
Points / Game1.60
Win Rate40.0%
GD / Game1.00
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability43.77%
Draw Probability20.17%
Away Probability36.06%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

2.27 — 2.57
Wins803
Losses1,197
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals2.93
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
Kraluv DvurLast 6 completed
28 Oct Kraluv Dvur 0 – 0 Sparta Prague B
24 Oct Kraluv Dvur 3 – 3 Ceske Budejovice
17 Oct Slavia Prague U20 3 – 4 Kraluv Dvur
10 Oct Kraluv Dvur 4 – 1 Motorlet Prague
26 Sep Loko Praha 2 – 3 Kraluv Dvur
19 Sep Kraluv Dvur 2 – 1 Povltavska FA
Sparta Prague BLast 6 completed
28 Oct Kraluv Dvur 0 – 0 Sparta Prague B
25 Oct Sparta Prague B 0 – 1 Pisek
17 Oct Motorlet Prague 1 – 1 Sparta Prague B
11 Oct Sparta Prague B 2 – 1 Dukla Prague B
19 Sep Loko Praha 0 – 4 Sparta Prague B
13 Sep Sparta Prague B 4 – 1 Bohemians 1905 B