⚽SoccerTab
Log in
Back to predictions
Match Centre SOUTH AFRICA - Super League Women Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
SOUTH AFRICA flag SOUTH AFRICA - Super League Women • 27 Oct 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns W

HOME
13:00
VS
MATCH PREVIEW

Copperbelt Ladies W

AWAY
Selected market
Home Win
1.03
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value100.00%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample1,303Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate58.8%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-35.82%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 1.03
88.4%
DrawOdds 9.60
9.5%
Away WinOdds 42.00
2.2%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 1.03 2.14 -51.94%
XDraw
 9.60 3.52 +100.00%
2Away Win
 42.00 4.01 +100.00%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 0.95 1.33 -28.70%
12Double Chance 12
 1.00 1.40 -28.39%
X2Double Chance X2
 7.80 1.87 +100.00%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 0.96 1.53 -37.45%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 39.06 2.87 +100.00%
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Mamelodi Sundowns W

Position#0
Played0
Wins0
Draws0
Losses0
Goals For0
Goals Against0
Goal Difference0
Points0
Points / Game0.00
Win Rate0.0%
GD / Game0.00

Copperbelt Ladies W

Position#0
Played0
Wins0
Draws0
Losses0
Goals For0
Goals Against0
Goal Difference0
Points0
Points / Game0.00
Win Rate0.0%
GD / Game0.00
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability46.66%
Draw Probability28.39%
Away Probability24.95%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

1.01 — 1.18
Wins766
Losses537
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals3.71
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
Mamelodi Sundowns WLast 6 completed
25 Oct TS Galaxy W 0 – 5 Mamelodi Sundowns W
17 Oct Mamelodi Sundowns W 0 – 0 Western Cape Univ. W
04 Oct Richmond United W 0 – 8 Mamelodi Sundowns W
26 Sep Copperbelt Ladies W 0 – 4 Mamelodi Sundowns W
20 Sep Mamelodi Sundowns W 3 – 0 Pretoria U. W
11 Sep Diepkloof W 0 – 1 Mamelodi Sundowns W
Copperbelt Ladies WLast 6 completed
24 Oct Copperbelt Ladies W 0 – 1 Western Cape Univ. W
17 Oct Pretoria U. W 1 – 1 Copperbelt Ladies W
02 Oct Copperbelt Ladies W 2 – 2 Stellenbosch W
26 Sep Copperbelt Ladies W 0 – 4 Mamelodi Sundowns W
19 Sep Copperbelt Ladies W 0 – 1 TS Galaxy W
13 Sep Richmond United W 0 – 1 Copperbelt Ladies W