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Match Centre ENGLAND - Professional Development League Analysis
SOCCERTAB ANALYSIS
ENGLAND - Professional Development League • 27 Oct 2026

Bolton U21

HOME
13:00
2:6
Finished

Huddersfield U21

AWAY
Selected market
Home Win
1.91
Current bookmaker price
Expected Value-0.05%Vs form-based fair odds
Historical Sample2,000Comparable odds records
Historical Hit Rate46.2%Wins among decided matches
Historical ROI-12.19%Flat 1-unit calculation
Probability model

1X2 probability distribution

Bookmaker odds and their normalized 1X2 probabilities.

100% normalized
Home WinOdds 1.91
49.0%
DrawOdds 4.68
20.0%
Away WinOdds 3.02
31.0%
The displayed 1X2 probabilities show the bookmaker market. Expected value is calculated separately against the shared recent-form Poisson model, using only completed matches before kickoff.
Market scanner

All available markets

Compare each current bookmaker odd with the fair price from the shared recent-form model.

MarketCurrent OddsFair OddsValue
1Home Win
 1.91 2.01 -5.02%
XDraw
 4.68 5.31 -11.87%
2Away Win
 3.02 3.18 -5.05%
1XDouble Chance 1X
 1.35 1.46 -7.45%
12Double Chance 12
 1.15 1.23 -6.66%
X2Double Chance X2
 1.85 1.99 -7.00%
DNB1Draw No Bet 1
 1.53 1.63 -6.27%
DNB2Draw No Bet 2
 2.41 2.58 -6.65%
Comparative form

Common-opponent evidence

How both teams performed against the same league opponents before this fixture.

1 shared opponent
Evidence overview

Home team performed better by 100.0%

Based on 1 shared opponent. Historical comparison only; it does not guarantee the result.
Bolton U21
Points earned3
Goal difference+2
Odds performance 1.00
Huddersfield U21
Points earned0
Goal difference-1
Odds performance N/A
Match-by-match comparisonMost recent completed result against each shared opponent
Win Draw Loss
Shared opponentBolton U21Huddersfield U21
Wigan U21
3–1
WinAway · 20 Oct 2026
3 pts
1–2
LossAway · 29 Sep 2026
0 pts
League strength

Recent-form Poisson model

Recent completed results, venue-specific scoring and goals conceded estimate fair probabilities. The strongest 1X2 outcome is selected first, then the highest expected-value eligible market is identified.

FORM MODEL

Bolton U21

Position#1
Played9
Wins7
Draws0
Losses2
Goals For24
Goals Against12
Goal Difference12
Points21
Points / Game2.33
Win Rate77.8%
GD / Game1.33

Huddersfield U21

Position#7
Played6
Wins4
Draws0
Losses2
Goals For19
Goals Against11
Goal Difference8
Points12
Points / Game2.00
Win Rate66.7%
GD / Game1.33
Calculation: Recency-weighted goals scored and conceded, separate home/away performance, league scoring baseline, sample-size shrinkage and home advantage feed a Poisson score model. Fair odds are compared with bookmaker odds to calculate expected value.
Home Probability49.73%
Draw Probability18.83%
Away Probability31.44%
Historical evidence

Comparable-odds performance

Completed matches where the same market traded within the selected odds range.

1.76 — 2.06
Wins923
Losses1,077
Voids / Draws0
Avg. Goals3.05
Historical data is descriptive. Small samples may produce unstable percentages, and missing odds or scores are excluded.
Team form

Recent completed matches

Only the recent completed matches of the two teams in this analysis are shown.

6 each
Bolton U21Last 6 completed
27 Oct Bolton U21 2 – 6 Huddersfield U21
20 Oct Wigan U21 1 – 3 Bolton U21
12 Oct Blackburn U21 3 – 3 Bolton U21
05 Oct Sheffield Utd U21 2 – 0 Bolton U21
29 Sep Hull U21 1 – 2 Bolton U21
28 Sep Hull U21 1 – 2 Bolton U21
Huddersfield U21Last 6 completed
27 Oct Bolton U21 2 – 6 Huddersfield U21
13 Oct Sheffield Wed U21 2 – 5 Huddersfield U21
09 Oct Birmingham U21 2 – 4 Huddersfield U21
29 Sep Wigan U21 2 – 1 Huddersfield U21
14 Sep Swansea U21 2 – 0 Huddersfield U21